American magazine: The fall of Ma’rib in the hands of the Houthis would represent the worst scenario

An American magazine revealed Saudi intentions in recent years about the future of Yemen, and how the Iranian enemy is stalking it through its “Houthi” arms, noting that the fall of Ma’rib would represent the worst scenario, and the humanitarian situation would remain critical, stressing that it is still possible for the government to unite with the factions opposed to the Houthis. to launch a counterattack.

In recent years, the Saudis have engaged in what were, by all accounts, well-intentioned talks about the future of Yemen, including with archenemy Iran, but in reality the Houthis have little incentive to sit at the negotiating table when The Hadi government and its local allies are divided, insufficiently armed, and often fight each other.

The magazine confirmed, in a press report, “The Houthis’ inclination towards a military solution instead of a negotiated solution is bearing fruit, after two years of their military campaign in Marib, and if they achieve a victory, it will certainly be very expensive – it was reported that the Houthis lost thousands of soldiers, many of them children. in this effort – but it would mark a turning point.”

Regarding the possible scenario in the Ma’rib governorate, which is under a massive military attack from the Iranian-backed terrorist Houthi militia, and the stifling siege it imposes on the residents of its villages, accompanied by the bombing of marches and missiles, Sima and Marib represent one of the most important strongholds that remained under the control of the legitimate government, the magazine said that “in the event that They (the Houthis) defeated the Yemeni forces in one of their last major strongholds in the north and took control of the energy centers in Yemen, the Houthis will have won the war.”

In a warning to her of the catastrophic humanitarian situation in the event of the fall of Ma’rib in the hands of the Iranian militia, she said, “For the Yemeni people, Riyadh and Washington, the fall of Marib would represent the worst scenario. Even if the war ends, the humanitarian situation will remain critical, as two-thirds of Yemen’s population of 30 million is still They face starvation and depend on the United Nations World Food Program for daily sustenance.”

Meanwhile, she added, Iran’s proxies would take over another Arab country, and Saudi Arabia would remain vulnerable to missile and drone attacks from its southern neighbor.

At a time when the Biden administration fell into the mud of the Afghan war after the failure of the government supported by it, which prompted it to leave, the administration itself fears a repetition of the scenario in the Yemen war, especially with the abject failure of the government and the continued collapse of the national currency on a daily basis, leaving a negative impact among millions of citizens. .

The magazine report emphasized that Yemen is “another hell for the Biden administration. As with Afghanistan, the US government is likely to soon face the challenge of another failed state led by a militant Islamist organization with millennium delusions, even if the Houthis are nominally Shiites.”

He predicts that the “potential consequences will be significant,” and that “not only is the Houthis likely to continue to target US allies in the Gulf militarily, but if the vacillating Saudi coalition loses the Yemeni city of Hodeidah and the rest of the Red Sea coast, the Houthis could also easily disrupt more than 6 million of them.” The barrels of oil and petroleum products that pass daily through one of the main passages in the world, which is the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

The report revealed the possibility of the Biden administration’s interference in the Houthis’ victory in Marib and their advance on the oil province. “Whatever the circumstances or outcomes, there is no chance that the Biden administration will attempt to thwart a complete Houthi victory, either by working with the Saudis to better arm and organize the Hadi government and its local allies or by ordering the US military to intervene directly,” he said.

In its report, the magazine did not rule out the Biden administration’s interference in protecting shipping lanes, “after the possible end of the war,” she said, as “it will be the duty of the United States to contain Iranian harm in Houthi-controlled Yemen, maintain the safety of shipping in the Red Sea, and undermine Houthi ambitions.” regional”.

The newspaper noted that, “Despite US President Joe Biden’s apparent hatred of the Saudi crown prince, the first business would be to strengthen the kingdom’s defense capabilities. Over the past two years, Saudi Arabia has significantly improved its ability to counter the Houthi threat with missiles and drones.”

But to continue to do so, Riyadh will require a US commitment to renew its defense arsenal, including the Patriot anti-missile batteries and anti-aircraft missiles used to target drones.

The magazine believes that the decision of the Biden administration to cancel the decision of the administration of his predecessor, Donald Trump, to classify the United States of the Houthi terrorist militia as a “terrorist organization”, reduced the chances of solutions with the militia.

The magazine says, “Another step is for Biden to return the Houthis to the list of foreign terrorist organizations, a designation that he rescinded upon taking office.”

In her press report, she adds, “In fact, then Secretary of State Mike Pompeo was right when he officially described them as terrorists. The group deliberately bombs hospitals, recruits and deploys child soldiers, and on December 30, 2020, it tried to kill all members of the Yemeni government.”

In addition to bilateral defense assistance to the Saudis, the Biden administration should accelerate — starting now, in anticipation of the end of the war — establishing a multilateral security mechanism in the Red Sea to interdict illicit arms shipments, stop human and other trafficking, and prevent harassment of shipping, including That’s laying mines, at the southern end of the Red Sea.”

To prevent Iran from completing its entire project to re-establish a Hezbollah-like entity on the kingdom’s southern front once the Houthis take control, the Biden administration will need to reactivate the 2015 UN arms embargo on Yemen.

She pointed to the importance of the air ban on the militia, in addition to a package of strict measures to curb the militia’s smuggling of weapons, as the magazine believes that “this will require continuous and additional efforts for the maritime ban, in addition to enforcing the ban on air traffic to prevent the smuggling of advanced Iranian military equipment.”

He pointed out that “in the event of the Biden administration’s failure, the danger is not only that more Iranian weapons will be directed to Yemen, but that Iranian weapons will reach Riyadh.”

She pointed out that “it is still possible for the Hadi government to unite with the Yemeni factions opposed to the Houthis to launch a counterattack, provided that the Saudis begin to arm the Yemenis in Marib to give them a chance to win, otherwise the spoils will be greatly reversed.”

The article from the source


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